New York, November 15, 2012 --
Moody's Rating
Issue: Series 2012 Fixed Rate Health Care Revenue Bonds; Rating: Baa1; Sale Amount: $36,375,000; Expected Sale Date: 11-29-2012; Rating Description: Revenue: Other
Opinion
Moody's Investors Service has assigned a Baa1 long-term rating to Catholic Medical Center's (CMC) $36.4 million of Series 2012 fixed rate bonds to be issued through the New Hampshire Health & Education Facility Authority, NH. At the same time, Moody's is affirming the Baa1 long-term and underlying ratings on approximately $62.4 million of outstanding revenue certificates. The outlook remains stable.
Moody's analysis incorporates the performance of the entire system known as Catholic Medical Center Healthcare System, of which CMC represents 97% of revenues and 88% of assets.
SUMMARY RATING RATIONALE
The affirmation of the Baa1 debt rating and the maintenance of the stable outlook reflect the improved financial performance in fiscal year (FY) 2012 despite the reductions in the state's Medicaid disproportionate share funding (DSH) program. Management's cost reduction efforts, coupled with CMC's growing relationship with Dartmouth-Hitchcock Clinic in Manchester, have allowed the hospital to absorb the cuts from the state, improve financial performance and grow already strong balance sheet metrics. CMC's above average balance sheet, low leverage position and strong debt service coverage measures provide a cushion against the continuation of the Medicaid Enhancement Tax (MET) and a growing underfunded defined pension liability. The hospital is also challenged by a competitive service area and outmigration for services not offered.
STRENGTHS
*Improved financial performance in FY 2012 with a 2.8% operating margin and 7.2% operating cash flow margin compared a 0.2% operating margin and 5.0% operating cash flow margin in FY 2011; improvement driven by successful execution of management's plan to reduce expenses and grow market share
*Low absolute debt load equating to good coverage with debt-to-operating revenue of 24%, Moody's debt-to-cash flow of 2.7 times and maximum annual debt service (MADS) coverage of 4.7 times (Baa1 medians are 36% debt-to-operating revenue, 4.1 times debt-to-cash flow, and 3.7 times MADS coverage)
*Growth in absolute unrestricted cash and investments to $133 million (or 152 days cash on hand) at FYE 2012 from $127 million (or 146 days cash on hand) at FYE 2011; leading to improved cash-to-debt of 167% at FYE 2012 (June 30, 2012) from 158% at FYE 2011, well above the Baa1 median cash-to-debt of 92%
*Location in demographically favorable Manchester, NH characterized with a low unemployment rate (5.7%) and high median income levels ($74,000); the area is challenged by slow population growth and an unemployment rate that has increased in 2012 but remains below the rest of New England and the national average
*Close relationship with the Dartmouth-Hitchcock clinic (includes 156 physicians) and 77 employed physicians (including 22 cardiologists); the hospital is best known for cardiology but has seen market share growth in obstetrics, gynecology, orthopedics, and neurosurgery over the last two years
CHALLENGES
*Change in the New Hampshire State Medicaid Enhancement tax (MET) program, requiring all non-critical access hospitals in New Hampshire to continue to pay the annual provider tax but no longer receive any Medicaid disproportionate share (DSH) funds in return, resulting in a material negative impact to the 13 non-critical access hospitals; in FY 2012 CMC paid approximately $15.2 million and expects to pay $15.6 million in FY 2013 with no offsetting DSH funding from the state for the second consecutive year; in FY 2011 CMC paid $12.5 million into the provider tax program and received $12.0 million in DSH funds for a net loss of $0.5 million
*Underfunded defined benefit pension plan and growing liability adds pressure to the balance sheet; at FYE 2012 the pension was 59% funded compared to the projected benefit obligation, with an underfunded liability of $83.9 million, a material increase compared to the $39.2 million liability at FYE 2011 and greater than the total bonded debt; Management implemented a hard freeze to the plan on December 31, 2011 and expects to realize future savings
*Located in a competitive market with the presence of another acute care provider in Manchester that has recently opened a large new outpatient facility and has quickly increased its number of employed physicians;
OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects our belief that with the expense reductions and relationship with the DH Clinic Physicians as well as other aligned and employed physicians, operating performance for the system will remain stable or improve over the next several years. Furthermore, with the low leverage position, good coverage, and above average balance sheet metrics at the Baa1 rating level, we believe CMC has a cushion against the continued MET payments and the growing pension liability.
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO UP
Inpatient volume gains leading to market share and revenue growth and a multi-year trend of improved operating performance; further improved debt ratios; and continued gains in absolute liquidity
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO DOWN
Decline in inpatient volumes leading to market share loss; decline in financial performance leading to softer debt ratios; material declines in liquidity; large additional debt without commensurate increase in cash flow
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY USED
The principal methodology used in this rating was Not-For-Profit Healthcare Rating Methodology published in March 2012. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following: parties involved in the ratings, parties not involved in the ratings, public information, confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information, confidential and proprietary Moody's Analytics information.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing a rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources.
However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%) and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation; however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Jennifer Ewing Associate Analyst Public Finance Group Moody'sInvestors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653Lisa Goldstein Associate Managing Director Public Finance Group JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653(C) 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.
CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. ("MIS") AND ITS AFFILIATES ARE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S ("MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS") MAY INCLUDE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY'S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY'S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.
ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED,DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY'S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.
All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY'S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided "AS IS" without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY'S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process. Under no circumstances shall MOODY'S have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to, any error negligent or otherwise or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees or agents in connection with the procurement, collection, compilation, analysis, interpretation, communication, publication or delivery of any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, compensatory or incidental damages whatsoever (including without limitation, lost profits), even if MOODY'S is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of or inability to use, any such information. The ratings, financial reporting analysis, projections, and other observations, if any, constituting part of the information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. Each user of the information contained herein must make its own study and evaluation of each security it may consider purchasing, holding or selling.
NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY'S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.
MIS, a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Corporation ("MCO"), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MIS have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MIS for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS's ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading "Shareholder Relations -- Corporate Governance -- Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy."
Any publication into Australia of this document is by MOODY'S affiliate, Moody's Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657, which holds Australian Financial Services License no. 336969. This document is intended to be provided only to "wholesale clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY'S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a "wholesale client" and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to "retail clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001.
Notwithstanding the foregoing, credit ratings assigned on and after October 1, 2010 by Moody's Japan K.K. ("MJKK") are MJKK's current opinions of the relative future credit risk of entities, credit commitments, or debt or debt-like securities. In such a case, "MIS" in the foregoing statements shall be deemed to be replaced with "MJKK". MJKK is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly owned by Moody's Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO.
This credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness or a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be dangerous for retail investors to make any investment decision based on this credit rating. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.