06.04.2007 16:23:00
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American Home Mortgage Expects Reduced Earnings in the First Quarter and Full Year 2007
American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. (NYSE: AHM) announced today that
it expects lower income in the first quarter and full year 2007 than
previously forecasted due to conditions in the secondary mortgage and
mortgage-backed securities markets.
Michael Strauss, American Home’s Chairman and
Chief Executive Officer, commented, "During
March, conditions in the secondary mortgage and mortgage securities
markets changed sharply. In particular, these markets were characterized
by far few buyers offering materially lower prices, both for loan pools
and for "AA”, "A”,
"BBB” and residual
mortgage securities. These changes had a significant, adverse impact on
our Company’s first quarter results, reducing
our gain on sale revenue and causing mark-to- market losses in our
portfolio. While the market may recover, and while we will attempt to
restore our gain on sale margins by raising interest rates charged to
consumers, our working assumption must be that current market conditions
will persist and that our gain on sale margins will not recover through
the balance of the year. Consequently, I am disappointed to report that
our Company is lowering its full year earnings guidance and its dividend
policy.” First Quarter Results
The Company’s first quarter results will be
adversely affected by lower gain on sale margins. As March progressed,
loan pools offered for sale by the Company received relatively few bids
at lower than expected prices. As a result, those loans originated by
the Company in late February and during March earned lower gain on sale
revenues than were anticipated.
The Company’s first quarter results will also
be adversely affected by write-downs of its portfolio of low investment
grade and residual securities. In particular, the Company’s
approximately $484 million of securities rated "AA”,
"A” or "BBB”
will be written down to account for an unusually large widening in the
first quarter of the spread over LIBOR at which these securities trade.
Additionally, the Company’s first quarter
results will be adversely affected by ongoing high delinquency related
charges due to the Company establishing additional reserves for
increases in non-performing loans. While high delinquency charges were
expected, their impact on quarterly results continues to be significant.
A disproportionate share of the Company’s
non-performing loans are repurchased Alternate "A”
loans. The Company has ceased offering those types of Alternate "A”
loans that have resulted in a high proportion of its repurchases, and
consequently believes the portion of delinquency related charge
resulting from repurchases will diminish toward year-end. While
non-performing loans increased during the quarter, the Company did
experience a decline in early stage delinquencies, with loans in early
stage delinquencies lower at the end of the first quarter than at
year-end 2006.
During the first quarter, the Company’s loan
production was approximately $16.7 billion. Also during the quarter, the
Company’s net interest income and mortgage
servicing income were near forecast levels.
First Quarter Earnings Guidance
Investors are strongly cautioned that the Company has not yet closed its
first quarter, and its actual financial results for the first quarter
are unknown and difficult to forecast. Given information currently
available, the Company believes its first quarter diluted earnings per
share will approximate $0.40 to $0.60.
Full Year 2007 Earnings Guidance
Due to the Company’s first quarter earnings
shortfall, and based on the possibility that current market conditions
will continue to prevail for an extended period, the Company is lowering
its full year 2007 earnings guidance to $3.75 to $4.25 per diluted
share. Assumptions underlying the revised guidance include slightly
lower gain on sale margins in the second quarter compared to the first
quarter, and gain on sale margins in the third and fourth quarters
similar to the first quarter. Also underlying the revised guidance are
the absence of further write-downs of low investment grade and residual
securities, and delinquency related charges similar to the first quarter
through the balance of the year, except that repurchase related charges
are projected to diminish slightly in the fourth quarter.
Dividend Policy
Due to the Company’s first quarter earnings
shortfall and the Company’s revised outlook
for the balance of 2007, the Company is lowering its common stock
dividend policy to $0.70 per share per quarter or $2.80 per share on an
annualized basis. The new dividend policy applies to the second quarter
2007 dividend payable in July 2007. Please note, however, that the
Company’s dividend policy does not represent
an obligation to pay dividends, and that dividends are only due and
payable upon their declaration by the Company’s
Board of Directors.
Earnings Release and Conference Call
American Home will announce its first quarter results in a press release
that will be issued before the market opens on Monday, April 30, 2007.
The Company will hold a conference call that same day at 10:30 AM EST to
discuss earnings.
Interested parties may listen to the live conference call by visiting
the investor relations section of American Home’s
corporate website, www.americanhm.com.
A replay of the online broadcast will be available on the site through
May 14, 2007.
About American Home Mortgage
American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. is a mortgage real estate
investment trust (REIT) focused on earning net interest income from
self-originated loans and mortgage-backed securities, and, through its
taxable subsidiaries, from originating and selling mortgage loans and
servicing mortgage loans for institutional investors. Mortgages are
originated through a network of loan production offices and mortgage
brokers as well as purchased from correspondent lenders, and are
serviced at the Company’s Irving, Texas
servicing center. For additional information, please visit the Company's
website at www.americanhm.com.
This news release contains "forward-looking
statements” that are based upon expectations,
estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. Any statement in this
news release that is not a statement of historical fact, including, but
not limited to, earnings guidance and forecasts, projections of
financial results and loan origination volume, expected future financial
position, dividend plans or business strategy, and any other statements
of plans, expectations, objectives, estimates and beliefs, is a
forward-looking statement. Words such as "look
forward,” "will,” "anticipate,” "may,” "expect,” "plan,” "believe,” "intend,” "opportunity,” "potential,”
and similar words, or the negatives of those words, are intended to
identify forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that
are difficult to predict, and are not guarantees of future performance.
As a result, actual future events may differ materially from any future
results, performance or achievements expressed in or implied by this
news release. Specific factors that might cause such a difference
include, but are not limited to: American Home’s
limited operating history with respect to its portfolio strategy; the
potential fluctuations in American Home’s
operating results; American Home’s potential
need for additional capital; the direction of interest rates and their
subsequent effect on the business of American Home and its subsidiaries;
risks associated with the use of leverage; changes in federal and state
tax laws affecting REITs; federal and state regulation of mortgage
banking; and those risks and uncertainties discussed in filings made by
American Home with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Such
forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain, and stockholders
must recognize that actual results may differ from expectations.
American Home does not assume any responsibility, and expressly
disclaims any responsibility, to issue updates to any forward-looking
statements discussed in this news release, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
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