The Stock Market Just Did Something for the 11th Time Since 1984. History Says It Signals a Big Move in the Next Year.

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) added 5.5% in the first half of 2025 as the economy remained strong despite sweeping tariffs from the Trump administration. The "Magnificent Seven" stocks were responsible for 15% of those gains because of particularly strong performances from Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia.Put differently, a relatively small number of mega-cap companies accounted for a relatively large portion of the S&P 500's gains in the first half of the year. In fact, the S&P 500 beat the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index -- an index that affords each stock the same weight, rather than weighting them by market capitalization -- by 1.7 percentage points.So what? That was the 11th time since 1984 the S&P 500 has outperformed its equal-weight counterpart by more than a percentage point in the first half of the year. The last 10 times, the S&P 500 usually rocketed higher in the subsequent 12 months as the upward momentum broadened throughout the index.Continue readingWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei MotleyFool Weiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei MotleyFool