New York, November 07, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service announced today that it has upgraded the rating of the following notes issued by Battalion CLO 2007-1 Ltd.:
U.S. $31,500,000 Class B Floating Rate Notes Due July 14, 2022, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on July 15, 2011 Upgraded to Aa3 (sf).
RATINGS RATIONALE
Moody's notes that the deal has benefited from an increase in the weighted average spread ("WAS") and a reduction in the weighted average life ("WAL") of the underlying portfolio since the last rating action in July 2011. Based on the latest trustee report dated September 4, 2012, the WAS is currently 3.92% compared to 3.46% in May 2011. The reduction in the WAL is due to a shorter time remaining to maturity compared to the last rating action in July 2011. In addition, Moody's calculated weighted average recovery rate ("WARR") has increased to 51.05% from 47.98% in July 2011.
Due to the impact of revised and updated key assumptions referenced in "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in June 2011, key model inputs used by Moody's in its analysis, such as par, weighted average rating factor, diversity score, and weighted average recovery rate, may be different from the trustee's reported numbers. In its base case, Moody's analyzed the underlying collateral pool to have a performing par and principal proceeds balance of $492.5 million defaulted par of $15 million, a weighted average default probability of 23.37% (implying a WARF of 3144), a weighted average recovery rate upon default of 51.05%, and a diversity score of 48. The default and recovery properties of the collateral pool are incorporated in cash flow model analysis where they are subject to stresses as a function of the target rating of each CLO liability being reviewed. The default probability is derived from the credit quality of the collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of the collateral pool. The average recovery rate to be realized on future defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance trends and collateral manager latitude for trading the collateral are also factors.
Battalion CLO 2007-1 Ltd., issued in July 2007, is a collateralized loan obligation backed primarily by a portfolio of senior secured loans.
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in June 2011. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3 of the "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" rating methodology published in June 2011.
In addition to the base case analysis described above, Moody's also performed sensitivity analyses to test the impact on all rated notes of various default probabilities. Below is a summary of the impact of different default probabilities (expressed in terms of WARF levels) on all rated notes (shown in terms of the number of notches' difference versus the current model output, where a positive difference corresponds to lower expected loss), assuming that all other factors are held equal:
Moody's Adjusted WARF -- 20% (2620)
Class A: +0 Class B: +1 Class C: +1 Class D: +2 Class E: +1 Moody's Adjusted WARF + 20% (3773)
Class A: -0 Class B: -2 Class C: -2 Class D: -1 Class E: -1 Moody's notes that this transaction is subject to a high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, as evidenced by 1) uncertainties of credit conditions in the general economy and 2) the large concentration of upcoming speculative-grade debt maturities which may create challenges for issuers to refinance. CLO notes' performance may also be impacted by 1) the manager's investment strategy and behavior and 2) divergence in legal interpretation of CLO documentation by different transactional parties due to embedded ambiguities.
Sources of additional performance uncertainties are described below:
1) Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in defaulted assets reported by the trustee and those assumed to be defaulted by Moody's may create volatility in the deal's overcollateralization levels. Further, the timing of recoveries and the manager's decision to work out versus sell defaulted assets create additional uncertainties. Moody's analyzed defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price and the recovery rate in order to account for potential volatility in market prices.
2) Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk on those assets. Moody's assumes an asset's terminal value upon liquidation at maturity to be equal to the lower of an assumed liquidation value (depending on the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that of the liabilities) and the asset's current market value.
3) Weighted average life: The notes' ratings are sensitive to the weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which may be extended due to the manager's decision to reinvest into new issue loans or other loans with longer maturities and/or participate in amend-to-extend offerings.
4) Other collateral quality metrics: The deal is allowed to reinvest and the manager has the ability to deteriorate the collateral quality metrics' existing buffers against the covenant levels. Moody's analyzed the impact of assuming the worse of reported and covenanted values for weighted average rating factor, weighted average spread, weighted average coupon, and diversity score. However, as part of the base case, Moody's considered spread and diversity levels higher than the covenant levels due to the large difference between the reported and covenant levels.
Further information on Moody's analysis of this transaction is available on www.moodys.com.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following: parties involved in the ratings, public information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information.
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction in the past six months.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing a rating.
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Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%) and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation; however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
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