15.03.2007 11:00:00
|
Indymac Provides Update
In light of current conditions impacting the subprime mortgage market,
IndyMac Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:NDE) ("Indymac®”
or the "Company”),
the holding company for IndyMac Bank, F.S.B. ("Indymac
Bank®”),
is providing this update to reaffirm the fundamental strength of its
hybrid thrift/mortgage banking business model; clarify its position as a
prime/Alt-A mortgage lender with minimal exposure to subprime; highlight
the strengths of its federally chartered savings and loan (national
thrift) structure in comparison to a mortgage REIT structure; and give
additional information on the Company’s
credit outlook.
Indymac’s exposure to subprime mortgages
is small, and the Company’s credit
performance statistics are reflective of prime/Alt-A mortgage lending.
Indymac has been inappropriately categorized by many media sources as a
subprime lender, and we wish to clarify our position as predominantly a
prime/Alt-A lender with the following facts:
1.
Based on the definition of subprime established by the Office of
Thrift Supervision (OTS) for our regulatory filings, only 3.0
percent of Indymac’s $90
billion in mortgage loan production in 2006 was subprime.
2.
Indymac’s asset-backed
securitizations (ABS) classified as subprime total $6.8 billion(1)
and represent only 4.4 percent of our total $156 billion portfolio
of loans serviced as of December 31, 2006.
3.
We do not rank among the top 25 subprime lenders in the country in
any current industry survey, nor are we part of the ABX Index of the
top 20 subprime issuers.
4.
Subprime mortgages generally include those loans where the borrower’s
FICO score is 620 or below. In contrast the average FICO score on
Indymac’s 2006 loan production
was 701.
Alt-A loans are generally for prime credit quality borrowers who do not
meet the published underwriting requirements of the GSEs, primarily
because they choose not to fully document their income but instead elect
to qualify for the loan based on their strong credit history, liquid
cash reserves and home equity level. Despite not meeting the published
underwriting requirements of the GSEs, most of our conforming-balance
Alt-A loans are, in fact, eligible for sale to the GSEs pursuant to
established contractual agreements. We do sell Alt-A loans to the GSEs
when that is the best execution, and as of December 31, 2006, 21 percent
of our $110 billion portfolio of Alt-A loans serviced for others was
serviced for the GSEs.
Alt-A credit performance is considerably closer to prime, agency
conforming loans than to subprime. As of December 31, 2006 (the most
current industry data available), the 30+day delinquency percentage for
Alt-A loans in the mortgage industry was 5.0 percent as compared to 22.7
percent for subprime loans.2 There is no
current industry data available for agency conforming loans as the GSEs
have yet to file financial statements for 2006, which would include that
data. Using Indymac’s agency conforming data
as a proxy for the industry, our 30+day delinquency percentage was 2.52
percent as of December 31, 2006.
For Indymac’s total $156 billion portfolio of
loans serviced, the 30+day delinquency rate was 5.43 percent of loan
balance, or 5.57 percent of loan units, nearly identical to the 5.67
percent of loan units overall delinquency rate, including loans in
foreclosure, for the largest independent mortgage lender in the country,
who is categorized as a prime lender. Indymac’s
30+day delinquency rate on its total $123 billion portfolio of Alt-A
loans (which includes the $110 billion portfolio of Alt-A loans cited
above plus $13 billion of loans held for sale and for investment on our
balance sheet) was 5.40 percent as of December 31, 2006.3
Of our $156 billion portfolio, we own the credit risk on $16 billion in
our portfolios of loans held for sale (HFS) and held for investment
(HFI). Loans in the HFS portfolio stay on our books for an average of 47
days (actual average for Q4-06). The loans in the HFI portfolio have an
average loan size of $309,924, average FICO score of 716 and an average
original loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 73 percent. With approximately two
years of seasoning in this portfolio and the home appreciation gains
that have occurred during this time, we estimate that the average
current LTV ratio is 61 percent.4 We also own
the credit risk on $12 billion of our $140 billion portfolio of loans
serviced for others in the form of residuals and non-investment grade
securities. As of December 31, 2006, these securities were valued at
$331 million, and we have credit reserves (estimated lifetime losses)
embedded in the valuation totaling $473 million, or 3.8 percent of the
underlying loans.
The ratio of non-performing assets (NPA) to total assets on the balance
sheet is also an indicator of credit quality. As of year-end, Indymac’s
NPA ratio stood at 0.63 percent of total assets. The NPA ratios for the
largest independent mortgage lender in the country and the largest
thrift were 1.19 percent and 0.80 percent, respectively.
Indymac’s thrift structure and capital and
liquidity resources are a source of strength.
There are some parallels between what is happening in the subprime
mortgage market today and the impact the global liquidity crisis of 1998
had on capital markets funded (non-depository) mortgage companies,
particularly mortgage REITs. As was the case then, the most severe
problems are being encountered by mortgage REITs. In 1998, Indymac was a
mortgage REIT, a structure the current management team inherited in 1993
from our founders. When the liquidity crisis hit, we were forced to
shrink our balance sheet dramatically in the 4th
quarter of 1998 to raise liquidity, and this caused us to suffer our
first and only quarterly loss, although we did record a profit for the
full year of 1998.
After that experience, Indymac decided to shed its mortgage REIT
structure, so that we would never again subject ourselves to this kind
of liquidity risk. We gave up our REIT status at the end of 1999, and on
July 1, 2000, Indymac became a federally chartered thrift. The thrift
structure has enabled us to diversify our funding sources and
substantially improve our overall liquidity position as shown in the
table below:
Indymac’s Corporate Structure:
Federally Chartered Thrift
Mortgage REIT
($ in millions)
December 31, 2006
September 30, 1998
Total Assets
$29,495
$7,350
Shareholders’ Equity
$2,028
$926
Equity to Assets
7%
13%
Regulatory Capital Ratios (Core/Risk-based)
7.39%/11.72%
n/a
Operating Liquidity (quarterly avg.)
$2,392
$151
Funding Sources:
Deposits
42%
0%
FHLB Advances
40%
0%
Asset-backed Commercial Paper & Other Securitized Borrowings
11%
1%
Reverse Repurchase Facilities
5%
84%
Trust Preferred
2%
0%
Revolving Bank Lines
0%
14%
Other Unsecured Debt
0%
1%
Total Borrowings
100%
100%
Today, Indymac has over $2.4 billion of liquidity, with roughly $11
billion of deposits, $10.4 billion of FHLB borrowings, $2.1 billion of
asset backed commercial paper programs (and other securitized
borrowings), $0.5 billion of Trust Preferred securities, $2 billion of
shareholders’ equity, and only $1.4 billion
of reverse repurchase (repo) borrowings from Wall Street (on our most
liquid assets). In addition, it should be noted that during this
uncertain period, Indymac has not had any financing facilities
terminated or reduced, nor have we received any margin calls.
We are now the 7th largest thrift in the
nation, as measured by total assets. One manifestation of the overall
financial strength we have achieved with our thrift structure is strong
long-term corporate credit ratings. Moody’s
Investor Service has recently upgraded the long-term credit ratings for
Indymac Bank and IndyMac Bancorp, Inc. from Baa3 and Ba1 to Baa2 and
Baa3, respectively. Both ratings are considered "Investment
Grade,” and these ratings are on a par with
Standard and Poor’s ratings of BBB and BBB-
for Indymac Bank and Indymac Bancorp, Inc., respectively.
In addition, Standard and Poor’s just
recently completed its Servicer Rating Audit/Review of Indymac and
upgraded the Company’s prime and subprime "Servicer
Ratings” from "Above
Average” to "Strong,”
the highest rating available. In its ratings upgrade Standard and Poor’s
commented as follows:
"The ratings reflect Indymac’s
experienced management team, strong internal controls, fine training
regimen and good IT environment. … Default
statistics reflect that the company effectively manages its delinquent
assets, thus mitigating potential losses. Indymac continues to receive
favorable ratings from its investors for investor reporting and default
management.”
Given the stability of our business foundation and our success in
executing on our strategies, we have grown to become the 7th
largest mortgage lender in the nation as of the fourth quarter of 2006,
according to National Mortgage News.
Indymac’s credit costs are projected to
increase but remain manageable.
Embedded in our 2007 outlook is a continuation of the current
challenging and volatile environment for housing, mortgage lending and
the secondary market. Based on this environment and given our prior
underwriting guidelines, which provide the basis for our current loan
portfolio and the loans we have sold on which we still retain credit
risk, we expect that our loan delinquencies and NPAs will continue to
rise significantly in 2007, similar to other top prime home lenders. We
are forecasting that our NPAs could rise from 0.63 percent at year-end
to 1.50 percent to 2.0 percent during 2007.5
Two factors could impact the NPA ratio and drive it higher than 1.50
percent to 2.0 percent: worsening housing market conditions and lower
levels of sales of NPAs than in the past. In the past, there has been a
liquid market for selling NPAs, but this market has recently become less
liquid. As such, we may elect to keep more NPAs on our balance sheet and
work them out (including through the sale of REOs), given our strong
liquidity and expertise in this area, rather than sell them at "firesale”
prices into a depressed market.
To improve our credit performance and earnings in the future, we
tightened our underwriting guidelines throughout 2006 and substantially
accelerated this tightening in 2007 for the two loan categories –
80/20 "piggybacks”
and subprime – causing our greatest credit
losses.6 Applying these guideline cutbacks (and
cutbacks on other products as noted in Appendix A) to our loan
production in the fourth quarter of 2006, we would have eliminated
approximately 51 percent of our 80/20 piggyback and subprime production,
reduced our overall production by 15.9 percent and eliminated $12.1
million in credit losses on mortgage loans held for sale, or 69 percent
of the credit losses. While these cutbacks will have a positive impact
going forward, it will take time for them to work through our production
and positively impact our credit performance metrics. We expect to
realize these benefits by the second half of 2007.
With respect to our current business, while our product guideline
cutbacks and pricing adjustments will strengthen our credit performance
in future periods, they are not as yet decreasing our current production
volumes. Despite our guideline cuts, we expect to generate roughly $26
billion in new loan production in the first quarter, flat to the record
production we achieved in Q4-06 and up 30 percent over the first quarter
of last year. In addition, business has recently accelerated as our
existing mortgage professional customers and many new customers see us
as a strong and reliable partner during these turbulent times. Our
pipeline of loans in process as of February 28, 2007 was $13.7 billion,
up 16 percent from year-end and up 11 percent from the prior year.
Built into the 1.50 percent to 2.0 percent overall NPA forecast is a
forecast that the NPA ratio in our Homebuilder Division (subdivision
construction loans) could rise to roughly 10.0 percent during the first
half of the year. However, we analyze each specific loan individually in
this portfolio and do not forecast significant losses coming from the
portfolio at this time. The forecasted increase in NPAs in this division
is anticipated to be concentrated in a few large borrowers. We have
tightened our guidelines such that loans of this size and type would no
longer be approved.
Also embedded in the 1.50 percent to 2.0 percent overall NPA forecast is
an expectation that loan repurchases will rise in the coming quarters as
a result of a combination of increased production volumes, Wall Street
firms becoming more aggressive on repurchase demands, and credit
deterioration, the majority of which will be associated with products we
eliminated by tightening our guidelines over the past month or so.
Indymac’s repurchases in the fourth quarter
of 2006 were at a run rate of just under $300 million per year. We are
forecasting repurchases for all of 2007 at roughly $600 million, with a
greater percentage of these coming in the first half of the year and
tapering off as our guideline tightening begins to run through our
production. As a result, we forecast that credit costs7
in our mortgage production and sales business will increase. We see
these credit costs – which were 13.3 bps of
loan sales, or 10.6 percent of our mortgage banking revenue (MBR)
margin, in Q4-06 – increasing to a range of
15 bps to 25 bps of loan sales for the full year 2007, with the first
half in the range of 20 bps to 30 bps and the second half between 10 bps
and 20 bps. These credit costs have been factored into our earnings
forecast and, we believe, will remain manageable. Again, if conditions
in the housing and mortgage markets worsen substantially from our
current expectations, this could have a material adverse impact on our
earnings from our current earnings forecast.
Financial Freedom, our reverse mortgage subsidiary, has been a notable
success for Indymac since its acquisition in 2004. This entity has been
the clear market leader in reverse mortgages with over a 50 percent
market share, and, until recently, there have been few major competitors
in this business. In the past two years, we have been able to leverage
Indymac’s secondary marketing expertise to
substantially expand Financial Freedom’s
revenue margins to what became outsized and unsustainable levels. This
contributed to Financial Freedom earning $54 million and a strong ROE of
56 percent in 2006, up from $25 million and an ROE of 39 percent in
2005. We expect Financial Freedom’s profit
contribution to continue to be strong in the first quarter of 2007 and
reach an all-time record of roughly $26 million. However, profits are
expected to drop substantially in the second quarter (but resume growing
thereafter), as new entrants into the reverse mortgage business exert
competitive pressures, reducing revenue margins to more normal levels.
For the full year, we expect Financial Freedom to increase its loan
production volume by 30 percent over 2006 and profits by 12 percent to
approximately $61 million, representing an ROE of 49 percent.
Regulatory Update
Indymac’s regulator, the Office of Thrift
Supervision (OTS), is up to date on our operations, financial position
and prospects for 2007. We have a positive and constructive relationship
with them, which includes regular feedback and suggestions or ideas for
improvement. As a result of our strong financial condition, including
solid earnings and strong liquidity, and prudent regulatory compliance
and risk management, we have not been directed by our regulators to
change our business or financial position.
Conclusions "Clearly, the mortgage market and, in
particular, the secondary market for mortgages are in a state of
irrational panic right now, making it virtually impossible to predict
short-term loan production and sales volumes or earnings with any
reasonable precision until things settle down,”
commented Michael W. Perry, Chairman and CEO of Indymac. "With
that said, at this point our view that in the first half of 2007 Indymac
would earn around a 10 percent ROE and in the second half …
as our credit tightening and pricing changes take affect and hopefully
the markets settle down … could earn around a
15 percent ROE still looks, roughly speaking, right.
"It is no fun to have this current level of
turmoil in the mortgage business and have our earnings and stock price
decline, causing stress and anxiety for our shareholders and employees.
And, while we don’t wish any of our
competitors ill, the current ‘firestorm’
in our industry is exactly what is needed to restore rationality and
discipline to the mortgage business, and this will ultimately be very
positive for strong companies like Indymac. Let me leave you with some
recent wisdom from Warren Buffett. When asked in a CNBC interview this
week what he thinks is the number one threat to the stock market and the
capital markets overall, Mr. Buffett’s
response was:
‘Long term they’ll
do fine owning American equities. I have no idea what the market will do
next week, next year, zero. I don’t think
about it. If I thought about it, it wouldn’t
do any good. The main thing an investor needs is the proper temperament.
He doesn’t have to have 150 IQ, he doesn’t
have to be an expert on accounting, but he does have to keep his balance
when untoward things happen in the market. The reason investors do
poorly is they beat themselves. The Dow went from 66 to 11,400 in the
last century. You’d think it would be pretty
hard not to do well if you go from 66 to 11,400. The people who didn’t
do well are the people who panicked at the wrong time, came in because
stocks were popular and left when they were unpopular. So you have to
have an emotional stability. If you have an emotional stability and you
stick with American businesses, you’re going
to do fine.’” Indymac Stock Holdings and Stock Sales for Top Three Executives: Executive
Number of Indymac Shares Currently Owned
Number of Indymac Stock Options Currently Vested
Number of Indymac Shares Sold from 1/1/06 through 3/13/07
Michael W. Perry
Chairman and CEO
214,502
2,508,086
Zero
Richard H. Wohl
President
104,095
895,905
Zero
A. Scott Keys
Chief Financial Officer
4,159
135,595
Zero
Appendices attached: A – Recent Guideline Cutbacks B – Delinquency Data on Mortgage
Servicing Portfolio About Indymac Bank
IndyMac Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:NDE) (Indymac®)
is the holding company for IndyMac Bank, F.S.B. (Indymac Bank®),
the 7th largest savings and loan and the 2nd
largest independent mortgage lender in the nation. Indymac Bank,
operating as a hybrid thrift/mortgage banker, provides cost-efficient
financing for the acquisition, development, and improvement of
single-family homes. Indymac also provides financing secured by
single-family homes and other banking products to facilitate consumers’
personal financial goals.
With an increased focus on building customer relationships and a
valuable consumer franchise, Indymac is committed to becoming a top five
mortgage lender in the U.S. by 2011, with a long-term goal of providing
returns on equity of 15 percent or greater. The company is dedicated to
continually raising expectations and conducting itself with the highest
level of ethics.
For more information about Indymac and its affiliates, or to subscribe
to the company’s Email Alert feature for
notification of company news and events, please visit http://about.indymacbank.com/investors.
Certain statements contained in this press release may be deemed to be
forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities
laws. The words "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect,"
"project," "plan," "forecast," "intend," "goal," "target," and similar
expressions identify forward-looking statements that are inherently
subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which cannot be predicted or
quantified. Actual results and the timing of certain events could differ
materially from those projected in or contemplated by the
forward-looking statements due to a number of factors, including, the
effect of economic and market conditions including industry volumes and
margins; the level and volatility of interest rates; the Company’s
hedging strategies, hedge effectiveness and asset and liability
management; the accuracy of subjective estimates used in determining the
fair value of financial assets of Indymac; the credit risks with respect
to our loans and other financial assets; the actions undertaken
by both current and potential new competitors; the availability of
funds from Indymac’s lenders and from loan
sales and securitizations, to fund mortgage loan originations and
portfolio investments; the execution of Indymac’s
growth plans and ability to gain market share in a significant market
transition; the impact of disruptions triggered by natural
disasters; pending or future legislation, regulationsor
litigation; and other risk factors described in the reports that Indymac
files with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual
Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and its reports on
Form 8-K.
(1)
Data on Indymac’s subprime ABS is
sourced from First American LoanPerformance, a unit of real estate
data specialist First American Real Estate Solutions, whose data
includes mortgages that have been packaged and sold as
mortgage-backed securities.
(2)
Data source First American LoanPerformance. All of Indymac’s
delinquency statistics cited herein include loans in foreclosure
in addition to delinquent loans. Other lenders’
statistics may not include loans in foreclosure.
(3)
Comparable data from First American LoanPerformance, which
includes only Indymac’s Alt-A loans
sold as mortgage backed securities, shows Indymac’s
Alt-A 30+day delinquency rate at 4.86 percent.
(4)
As of December 31, 2006, calculated based on the Office of the
Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight House Price Index
Metropolitan Statistical Areas data on a loan level basis.
(5)
Indymac operated with NPAs as high as 3.29 percent on average in
1999 and was able to remain solidly profitable, with an ROE of 8
percent for that year.
(6)
Note: One large mortgage lender got a lot of fanfare last week when
it cut out 100 percent financing for subprime borrowers. Indymac
stopped originating 100 percent financing for subprime borrowers in
the 1st quarter of 2006.
(7)
These credit costs include both a credit mark-to-market on loans
held for sale and a secondary market warranty accrual.
Appendix A Recent Guideline Cutbacks(a)
Product Group
($ in millions)
4th Quarter Production
Production Eliminated
Percent of 4th Quarter Production
Eliminated
4th Quarter Credit Losses on Loans Held for
Sale (LHFS)
4th Quarter Credit Losses on LHFS Related
To Eliminated Production
Percent of 4th Quarter Credit Losses on
LHFS Eliminated
80/20 Piggybacks
$
4,990
$
2,689.5
53.9%
$
10.27
$
9.06
88.2%
Subprime
$
1,155
$
444.7
38.5%
$
3.12
$
2.64
84.4%
Alt-A and Prime
$
11,205
$
586.5
5.2%
$
2.10
$
0.01
0.3 %
Option ARM
$
5,201
$
211.3
4.1%
$
1.42
$
0.02
1.7%
Second Liens (CES and HELOCs)
$
1,169
$
201.7
17.3%
$
0.41
$
0.40
96.8%
Consumer Construction
$
785
$
1.2
0.2 %
$
0.34
$
-
- %
Reverse Mortgages
$
1,441
$
-
- %
$
-
$
-
- %
Total
$
25,946
$
4,134.9
15.9%
$
17.66
$
12.12
68.6%
(a) Includes some guideline cutbacks that are scheduled to
take place on March 19, 2007.
Appendix B Delinquency Data on Mortgage Servicing Portfolio
All Loan delinquencies include loans in foreclosure and are
based on loan UPB using the MBA basis. (The 2006 Q4 Total Serviced
delinquencies include 55 bps of loans in foreclosure)
UPB $ in thousands
Total Serviced UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
155,655,692
5.43%1
2.30%
1.42%
0.17%
2006Q3
139,021,891
4.90%
1.94%
1.11%
0.13%
2006Q2
122,111,715
4.37%
1.49%
0.89%
0.12%
2006Q1
109,703,064
3.62%
1.44%
0.83%
0.12%
2005Q4
95,858,723
4.11%
1.59%
0.94%
0.12%
First Liens
Agency Conforming UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
6,464,343
2.52%
0.99%
0.58%
0.08%
2006Q3
6,236,500
2.59%
1.00%
0.56%
0.08%
2006Q2
6,191,006
2.27%
0.86%
0.51%
0.07%
2006Q1
6,146,023
2.16%
0.87%
0.55%
0.09%
2005Q4
6,120,310
2.62%
1.08%
0.67%
0.08%
Alt-A UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
123,340,076
5.40%
2.12%
1.28%
0.15%
2006Q3
109,606,506
4.81%
1.72%
0.93%
0.11%
2006Q2
94,960,194
4.25%
1.24%
0.71%
0.10%
2006Q1
84,826,702
3.38%
1.21%
0.65%
0.10%
2005Q4
73,240,442
3.77%
1.30%
0.74%
0.09%
Subprime UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
4,634,976
27.12%
15.42%
10.08%
1.66%
2006Q3
4,277,396
26.09%
14.82%
9.61%
1.43%
2006Q2
4,022,205
23.94%
13.00%
8.38%
1.29%
2006Q1
3,991,461
20.32%
11.28%
7.48%
1.20%
2005Q4
3,834,884
23.33%
12.21%
7.76%
1.08%
Lot Loans UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
1,726,187
4.57%
2.20%
1.59%
0.04%
2006Q3
1,798,074
4.06%
1.72%
1.23%
0.03%
2006Q2
1,859,607
3.29%
0.67%
0.33%
0.02%
2006Q1
1,856,605
2.24%
0.55%
0.15%
0.02%
2005Q4
1,756,295
3.09%
0.77%
0.33%
0.02%
Reverse Mortgages UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
13,068,747
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
2006Q3
11,554,888
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
2006Q2
10,294,332
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
2006Q1
8,914,824
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
2005Q4
7,757,545
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Second Liens
HELOC UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
3,551,054
2.03%
0.97%
0.55%
0.00%
2006Q3
3,288,214
1.33%
0.60%
0.34%
0.00%
2006Q2
2,886,374
0.86%
0.38%
0.22%
0.00%
2006Q1
2,422,579
0.67%
0.29%
0.16%
0.00%
2005Q4
2,102,895
0.61%
0.27%
0.15%
0.00%
Closed-end Seconds UPB 30+
60+
90+
REO
2006Q4
2,870,308
7.82%
4.01%
2.68%
0.07%
2006Q3
2,260,313
6.52%
3.12%
1.90%
0.02%
2006Q2
1,897,995
5.51%
2.60%
1.64%
0.02%
2006Q1
1,544,871
6.55%
2.10%
1.13%
0.03%
2005Q4
1,046,352
5.21%
2.04%
1.08%
0.03%
1 5.57 as a percentage of units
Summary as of December 31, 2006(UPB $ in millions) UPB % of total
Agency Conforming
6,464
4.2%
Alt-A
123,340
79.2%
Subprime
4,635
3.0%
Lot Loans
1,726
1.1%
Reverse Mortgages
13,069
8.4%
HELOC
3,551
2.3%
Closed-end Seconds
2,870
1.8%
Total Serviced
155,656
100%
Excludes Consumer and Commercial Construction commitments.
Notes
Agency Conforming - First mortgage loans sold to and
serviced for agencies that meet eligibility and approval standards
of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac underwriting guidelines.
Alt-A - First mortgage loans to prime credit quality
borrowers that do not meet agency underwriting guidelines.
Characteristics of these loans primarily reflect higher loan
balances than allowed by agency guidelines and/or lower
documentation levels. The majority of the conforming balance loans
are eligible for sale to the agencies pursuant to Indymac's forward
price protection agreements.
Subprime - First mortgage loans to borrowers with one or more
of the following characteristics: FICO score less than 620; late
mortgage payment in the last 12 months; bankruptcy within the last
24 months; or foreclosure within the last 36 months.
Indymac Alt-A and Subprime Securitizations(as
reported by Loan Performance) (UPB $ in thousands)
Industry "Alt A" Securitizations UPB 30+
60+
90+
2006Q4
600,609,004
5.01%
2.38%
1.63%
2006Q3
611,831,333
3.89%
1.68%
1.11%
2006Q2
584,891,180
3.13%
1.23%
0.82%
2006Q1
521,452,411
2.69%
1.14%
0.78%
2005Q4
466,674,322
3.30%
1.23%
0.77%
Indymac Alt-A Securitizations UPB 30+
60+
90+
2006Q4
51,073,671
4.86%
2.15%
1.32%
2006Q3
52,813,957
3.79%
1.37%
0.74%
2006Q2
50,214,040
2.78%
0.85%
0.45%
2006Q1
45,024,688
2.26%
0.67%
0.35%
2005Q4
35,604,072
2.57%
0.76%
0.38%
Reconciliation of Indymac "Alt A”
collateral as of December 31, 2006
UPB %
Indymac Alt A Securitizations per Loan Performance (above)
51,073,671
41%
Alt A loans included in subprime ABS securities
2,270,438
2%
Alt A serviced for the GSEs
22,966,104
19%
Indymac Alt A HFI and HFS
13,337,413
11%
Alt A loans - predominantly whole loan sales with servicing retained
by Indymac
33,692,450
27%
TOTAL ALT A 123,340,076
100% Industry Subprime Securitizations UPB 30+
60+
90+
2006Q4
638,261,495
22.74%
13.92%
10.08%
2006Q3
684,736,326
18.34%
10.71%
7.54%
2006Q2
682,675,363
15.43%
8.66%
6.16%
2006Q1
652,633,821
13.61%
7.94%
5.77%
2005Q4
624,090,840
15.37%
8.32%
5.68%
Indymac Subprime Securitizations UPB 30+
60+
90+
2006Q4
6,849,682
25.10%
15.33%
10.69%
2006Q3
6,800,688
19.92%
11.44%
7.76%
2006Q2
5,815,999
19.68%
10.79%
7.23%
2006Q1
5,965,738
15.70%
8.56%
5.77%
2005Q4
4,798,034
19.38%
10.44%
6.82%
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